Monthly Market Brief-August

Each month, our Heritage Investment team publishes a market brief to provide an overview of the major factors influencing the US economy, including a summary of key sectors and the current positives & challenges.

Click Market Brief August 2017 for updates.

Here are some key highlights:

POSITIVES:

  • Non-farm payrolls added 209,000 jobs in July, bringing this year’s monthly average additions to 170,000 which is well above the minimum 100,000 needed to absorb new entrants
  • Second quarter GDP came in at an annualized growth of 2.6% for one of the best postings in 2 years
  • Business investment posted a strong increase of 5.2% in 2Q17, driven by a sharp increase in equipment investment of 8.2%
  • Factory payrolls have come alive with unfilled orders jumping to a two-year high, increased shipments rising to a five-year high, and new orders standing at a three-year high

CHALLENGES:

  • With unemployment at 4.3%, average hourly earnings should theoretically be trending higher rather than remaining at a flat 2.5%
  • Given the relatively flat wage trend, consumer spending has been trending lower over the last three months with an average growth of 0.16%, near a cycle low